The headline numbers
In 2026, hot shot rates per mile are landing in these ranges: cargo van runs $1.20 to $1.80, box truck runs $1.50 to $2.10, dually with gooseneck runs $1.80 to $2.50, and flatbed hot shot runs $2.00 to $3.00.
These are loaded miles. Deadhead miles are unpaid, so your effective rate per total mile is always lower.
Regional variation matters
Texas oil patch lanes (Midland-Odessa-Houston) consistently pay above the national average for hot shot rigs because the freight is urgent and the operators are scarce. Expect $2.20 to $2.80 a mile for dually work in the patch.
Coast-to-coast hot shot runs tend to pay lower per mile because they're longer and the freight is less time-sensitive. Pricing in the $1.50 to $2.10 range is more common for cross-country dry freight.
Fuel surcharges
Most professional shippers calculate a fuel surcharge separately and add it to the base rate. As of early 2026, fuel surcharges land in the $0.30 to $0.55 per mile range depending on diesel prices.
If a shipper quotes you a flat all-in rate, the fuel surcharge is baked in. Make sure you do the math both ways before you accept.
What your break-even per mile actually is
For a single-truck dually hot shot operation, all-in operating cost is usually $0.90 to $1.20 per mile (fuel, maintenance, insurance, truck note, ELD, tolls, food on the road). That means you need to clear at least $1.50 a mile loaded to be profitable, accounting for deadhead.
Below that, you are paying the shipper to use your truck.
When to turn loads down
Two rules. First, if the rate per loaded mile is below your break-even by 20% or more, decline the load — you're better off staying parked. Second, if the deadhead miles to pickup exceed 30% of the loaded miles, the math almost never works.
Saying no to bad rates is how you raise the market average.
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